Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c27bce09d430f16aff4061203ab4651e70407bb93afa867b026aa88b5f39379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof L1ga Team, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 3,013$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.08 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 1,727$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.65 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Power Rangers | 55c | 1,583$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.12 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed L1ga Team | 57c | 1,223$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.64 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Power Rangers | 54c | 1,100$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 48c | 890.02$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 45c | 800$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Power Rangers | 52c | 600$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed L1ga Team | 45c | 409.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Power Rangers | 50c | 316$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Power Rangers | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed L1ga Team | 61c | 287.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Power Rangers | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 197$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 37c | 193.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Power Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Power Rangers | 26c | 169.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Power Rangers | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Power Rangers | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed L1ga Team | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Power Rangers | 50c | 98.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 75c | 96.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Power Rangers | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Power Rangers | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked L1ga Team | 78c | 44.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 26c | 41.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 40.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Power Rangers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 30.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Series 7 PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.