Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1db0595be6f065a556d9a78fa724d945ab3b9ccc3c62cbf5cb9c0dec49cb72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cupid Esportsof Maryville University, Cupid Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Cupid Esports | 63c | 9,959$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.15 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Cupid Esports | 62c | 6,116$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.03 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maryville University | 16c | 5,277$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.63 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked Maryville University | 39c | 3,458$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.48 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Maryville University | 37c | 3,131$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.66 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Maryville University | 37c | 1,822$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.71 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Maryville University | 38c | 1,517$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.36 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Maryville University | 38c | 1,368$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Cupid Esports | 62c | 1,130$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.4 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Maryville University | 38c | 1,007$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -9.1wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…f271backed Cupid Esports | 76c | 999.99$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maryville University | 16c | 815.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Maryville University | 40c | 759$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Cupid Esports | 60c | 648.18$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.27 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Maryville University | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Maryville University | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cupid Esports | 61c | 465.84$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Cupid Esports | 63c | 455.7$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Maryville University | 38c | 431.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Maryville University | 38c | 360$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Cupid Esports | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Maryville University | 37c | 232.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cupid Esports | 60c | 217.38$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Maryville University | 38c | 202.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Maryville University | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Cupid Esports | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maryville University | 38c | 198.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Maryville University | 38c | 186.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Maryville University | 16c | 164.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cupid Esports | 60c | 143.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Maryville University | 18c | 142.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Maryville University | 38c | 139.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Maryville University | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Maryville University | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 296 | 37.8%112 W · 184 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Maryville University | 37c | 100.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Cupid Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Maryville University | 38c | 91.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Maryville University | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Cupid Esports | 61c | 85.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Maryville University | 42c | 85.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Maryville University | 38c | 84.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Maryville University | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Maryville University | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Maryville University | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Maryville University | 39c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Maryville University | 38c | 67.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Cupid Esports | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 250 | 65.6%164 W · 86 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Maryville University | 29c | 65.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Cupid Esports | 76c | 59.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cupid Esports | 77c | 58.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Cupid Esports | 64c | 56.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maryville University | 36c | 56.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Maryville University | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Maryville University | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Maryville University | 42c | 51.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Cupid Esports | 78c | 50.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Maryville University | 27c | 48.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maryville University | 38c | 48.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Maryville University | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Maryville University | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…8c1cbacked Cupid Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Cupid Esports | 62c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)Cupid Esports won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 WinnerCupid Esports won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 WinnerCupid Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.