Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20b2d4af2e05b64e9a9fc063cf6ae3b40ea3d36a14673e1fb233b50cebe9e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 7,475$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 5,528$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.39 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 3,512$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,913$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 1,621$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,408$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.28 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 7c | 864.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 6c | 786.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 16c | 740.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 9c | 610.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 16c | 497.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 5c | 428.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 15c | 417.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 6c | 406.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 6c | 393.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 338.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 17c | 216.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 16c | 213.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 16c | 151.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 16c | 112.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…b314backed Yes | 15c | 91.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 16c | 83.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e1…17a5backed Yes | 13c | 82.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.