Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Sarah Van Emst vs Lavinia Tanasie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd21a08d88decafd7a30f32e8b2d04ccf1569337a6000d76f61c6f182dea5a580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sarah Van Emstof Sarah Van Emst, Lavinia Tanasie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sarah Van Emst | 34c | 306$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Sarah Van Emst | 55c | 180.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavinia Tanasie | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sarah Van Emst | 49c | 159.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Sarah Van Emst | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lavinia Tanasie | 46c | 115.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lavinia Tanasie | 44c | 115.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavinia Tanasie | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sarah Van Emst | 34c | 72.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Lavinia Tanasie | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Lavinia Tanasie | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Sarah Van Emst | 30c | 46.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lavinia Tanasie | 70c | 46.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lavinia Tanasie | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lavinia Tanasie | 46c | 38.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavinia Tanasie | 42c | 34.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sarah Van Emst | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lavinia Tanasie | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Lavinia Tanasie | 60c | 30.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Lavinia Tanasie | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Sarah Van Emst | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lavinia Tanasie | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sarah Van Emst | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.