Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bielsko Biala: Daria Gorska vs Amelia Paszun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd21b2a04eb691480af4b00c630223d4b9d9c7ae12a5ff3c19c2377c8be6207d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Gorskaof Daria Gorska, Amelia Paszun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Gorska | 57c | 1,534$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amelia Paszun | 17c | 1,161$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…b843backed Amelia Paszun | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amelia Paszun | 44c | 494.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amelia Paszun | 20c | 173.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Daria Gorska | 55c | 159.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Daria Gorska | 57c | 159$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Daria Gorska | 54c | 80.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Daria Gorska | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Daria Gorska | 73c | 63.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Daria Gorska | 57c | 59.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Amelia Paszun | 75c | 59.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Daria Gorska | 57c | 49.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amelia Paszun | 27c | 44.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Daria Gorska | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amelia Paszun | 38c | 41.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Gorska | 53c | 34.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Daria Gorska | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Amelia Paszun | 45c | 31.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Daria Gorska | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Amelia Paszun | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Daria Gorska | 57c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Amelia Paszun | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.