NHL · resolved market
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. San Jose Barracuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2755b1cac957653daaf491602efa96ae1089d00770138416debbebf0292b7b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Barracudaof Abbotsford Canucks, San Jose Barracuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 1,801$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.43 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Abbotsford Canucks | 42c | 1,070$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.28 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Abbotsford Canucks | 43c | 776.39$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.1 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 59c | 596.02$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.37 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Abbotsford Canucks | 39c | 314$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked San Jose Barracuda | 60c | 308.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Abbotsford Canucks | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 191.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 40c | 138.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Abbotsford Canucks | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Abbotsford Canucks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed San Jose Barracuda | 61c | 91.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 37c | 76.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Abbotsford Canucks | 39c | 72.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed San Jose Barracuda | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Abbotsford Canucks | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Abbotsford Canucks | 40c | 41.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Abbotsford Canucks | 44c | 32.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed San Jose Barracuda | 57c | 32.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Abbotsford Canucks | 43c | 28.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 24.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed San Jose Barracuda | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.