CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Acend - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29137a301f5b0288b82a6ff41bec875027f226c1e9128c1c5ade89884120cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,294 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Acend | 55c | 1,307$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Acend | 45c | 1,080$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.22 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 53c | 1,031$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.44 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 996.85$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.46 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Acend | 51c | 968.5$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.67 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 822.85$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.28 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Acend | 26c | 655$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 474.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.59 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Acend | 50c | 426.78$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Acend | 64c | 402.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 55c | 379.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Acend | 45c | 251.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 179.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Acend | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Acend | 53c | 144.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Acend | 50c | 136.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 61.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Acend | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…48e7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 56.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 55.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 54.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Acend | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…4dc3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Acend | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Acend - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.