CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c7ac0defc2db428e4df2bc86275320af4da3d9b52be14aa82348356e50a897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 72c | 2,536$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.01 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 1,830$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.39 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Heroic | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Heroic | 80c | 760.33$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 650$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Fluxo W7M | 31c | 600$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 22c | 502.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Heroic | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 496.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Heroic | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 72c | 483.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Heroic | 72c | 356$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Heroic | 72c | 296.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Heroic | 69c | 270$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 233$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Fluxo W7M | 29c | 193.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Heroic | 72c | 190.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Fluxo W7M | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Heroic | 71c | 143.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Heroic | 71c | 140.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Heroic | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 74c | 138.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Heroic | 71c | 126.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Fluxo W7M | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fluxo W7M | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Heroic | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fluxo W7M | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Fluxo W7M | 27c | 91.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 87.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Fluxo W7M | 32c | 62.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 60.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Heroic | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Heroic | 74c | 51.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Heroic | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Heroic | 75c | 44.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 43.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Heroic | 72c | 41.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Heroic | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…2bb3backed Heroic | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 69c | 20.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Heroic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Heroic | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 68c | 19.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Heroic | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Heroic | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Heroic | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Heroic | 71c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Heroic | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.