Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e1e7b5c66ca5444ae27030560788d672f9d54c4515c1edbab7530947884eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sholokhovaof Ekaterina Maklakova, Maria Sholokhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 20c | 7,857$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.96 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 62c | 1,567$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.77 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 35c | 1,515$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 53c | 748.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Sholokhova | 47c | 599.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…9d51backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 491.53$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Maria Sholokhova | 72c | 482.75$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 307.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Maria Sholokhova | 43c | 298$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Sholokhova | 47c | 238.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 53c | 187.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 62c | 124.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Maria Sholokhova | 41c | 101.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Sholokhova | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Maria Sholokhova | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Sholokhova | 41c | 67.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Maria Sholokhova | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 53c | 60.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 26c | 59.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 56c | 55.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Sholokhova | 41c | 36.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Maria Sholokhova | 43c | 35.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Maria Sholokhova | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 60c | 18.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.