CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3999d91daa1fe7b25453f2ffb113c113ec89e14ef5e5b5889cd4214e7e5d634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Millennium Esportsof Alpha Dominion Nation, Millennium Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Millennium Esports | 58c | 1,708$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.38 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 1,045$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.24 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 896.58$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 16c | 713.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Millennium Esports | 44c | 657.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.14 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Millennium Esports | 55c | 553.22$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.59 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Millennium Esports | 40c | 549.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 325.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 278.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 17c | 247$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 43c | 212.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 185.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Millennium Esports | 63c | 174.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Millennium Esports | 76c | 164.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Millennium Esports | 76c | 116.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Millennium Esports | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Millennium Esports | 76c | 106.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 43c | 103.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 103.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Millennium Esports | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 22c | 91.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 48c | 70.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Millennium Esports | 70c | 51.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Millennium Esports | 39c | 48.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 40c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Millennium Esports | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 40c | 25.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…4e2ebacked Millennium Esports | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsMillennium Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 WinnerAlpha Dominion Nation won
- Map Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)Alpha Dominion Nation won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.