CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27121e1c8a6a30e57001df862b6500c539c80ed23ab1797ac538b5ea9e56f9cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alpha Dominion Nationof Alpha Dominion Nation, Millennium Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Millennium Esports | 57c | 6,554$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.35 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Millennium Esports | 59c | 2,831$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.37 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Millennium Esports | 28c | 1,722$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 43c | 1,533$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.52 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 1,490$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 1,380$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.96 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 1,290$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.26 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 850.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.8 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 44c | 577.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.06 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 64c | 497.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Millennium Esports | 49c | 489.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 424.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 39c | 416.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 71c | 405.38$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Millennium Esports | 61c | 404.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Millennium Esports | 43c | 399$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 383.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.07 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 369.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Millennium Esports | 65c | 357.21$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Millennium Esports | 21c | 354.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Millennium Esports | 4c | 293$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 41c | 272.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 45c | 260.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Millennium Esports | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Millennium Esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 53c | 241.87$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 233.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 225.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 30c | 214.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 43c | 211.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Millennium Esports | 70c | 199.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 168.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 58c | 142.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 78c | 134.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 29c | 132.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Millennium Esports | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 31c | 103.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Millennium Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Millennium Esports | 64c | 96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 58c | 92.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 37c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 39c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Millennium Esports | 39c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 64c | 56.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Millennium Esports | 61c | 53.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 57c | 47.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 55c | 46.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 70c | 41.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…4985backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Millennium Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 47c | 39.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 78c | 35.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…f727backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Millennium Esports | 48c | 29.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Millennium Esports | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 61c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 58c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Millennium Esports | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 72c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsMillennium Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports - Map 2 WinnerMillennium Esports won
- Map Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+1.5)Alpha Dominion Nation won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.