Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Parks (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39cc3db87c5a6078f7b8253123bbcf63f5ed0a120af0a16a78fef010bdcaae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parksof Chwalinska, Parks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab28…c210backed Parks | 39c | 2,564$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chwalinska | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,750 | 50.2%878 W · 872 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Chwalinska | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…535cbacked Chwalinska | 50c | 175.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Parks | 50c | 133.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 2,454 | 50.9%1,248 W · 1,206 L | +83.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chwalinska | 41c | 89.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Chwalinska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Chwalinska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 909 | 54.6%496 W · 413 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Chwalinska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 973 | 56%545 W · 428 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 49.9%518 W · 521 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Chwalinska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 57.7%194 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Chwalinska | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,917 | 59.3%1,136 W · 781 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Chwalinska | 62c | 79.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Chwalinska | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,001 | 55.3%554 W · 447 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 56.9%321 W · 243 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 843 | 57.3%483 W · 360 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…741bbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…e81ebacked Chwalinska | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Chwalinska | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,115 | 60.3%672 W · 443 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Parks (+1.5)this page
- Chwalinska vs. Parks: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Monterrey Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia ParksAlycia Parks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.