College Football · resolved market
Jacksonville State vs. Southern Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3ecad982219eaa8452a7cfb9e864bcff37c966c8b3aa140e257a9d70f18acda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Missof Jacksonville State, Southern Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Jacksonville State | 37c | 2,025$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Southern Miss | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville State | 22c | 1,200$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Jacksonville State | 39c | 905.13$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Southern Miss | 61c | 873.88$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.81 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Southern Miss | 63c | 857$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Southern Miss | 78c | 670$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State | 16c | 610$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jacksonville State | 37c | 600.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State | 29c | 422.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Southern Miss | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Southern Miss | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss | 78c | 194.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Southern Miss | 63c | 169.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jacksonville State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Southern Miss | 65c | 75.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jacksonville State | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Southern Miss | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Southern Miss | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Miss | 62c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville State vs. Southern Missthis page
- Spread: Southern Miss (-3.5)Southern Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.