Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. CB Murcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd405a509a6ab9cca9d67cc1557da8f35dc832bf9faf8e61f21394f91a755c3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, CB Murcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CB Murcia | 28c | 3,011$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 1,753$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.5 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 73c | 1,683$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.25 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed CB Murcia | 17c | 1,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CB Murcia | 12c | 936.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Saski Baskonia | 76c | 600.08$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CB Murcia | 7c | 445.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CB Murcia | 3c | 414.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked CB Murcia | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CB Murcia | 34c | 242.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 209.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Saski Baskonia | 65c | 172.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked CB Murcia | 14c | 147.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 73c | 146.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked CB Murcia | 14c | 140.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CB Murcia | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Saski Baskonia | 67c | 93.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed CB Murcia | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CB Murcia | 14c | 71.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CB Murcia | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed CB Murcia | 33c | 48.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Saski Baskonia | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Saski Baskonia | 73c | 44.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked CB Murcia | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…1183backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.