La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4240340b4e940b2140df5967c01380ecb1685790320fc5470ceb6cf9ea8fd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,052$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 45c | 663.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.45 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 506.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.39 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 366.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 57c | 204.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 199.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 193.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 145.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 100.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 41c | 76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 60.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 49.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…8d1bbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…0079backed Over | 45c | 44.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 55c | 32.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 31.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 74c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.