Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 9z Team vs Aura (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd464b0c235d19e0c62ea88f4f39cc9171b4246fa8dcc063be1335f51a2dcf2ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9z Teamof 9z Team, Aura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aura | 8c | 715.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 9z Team | 65c | 474.97$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aura | 11c | 399.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Aura | 34c | 388.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Aura | 34c | 201.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Aura | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked 9z Team | 66c | 191.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Aura | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Aura | 31c | 147.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed 9z Team | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Aura | 35c | 108$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aura | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed 9z Team | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Aura | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Aura | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed 9z Team | 64c | 56.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Aura | 36c | 44.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked 9z Team | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed 9z Team | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed 9z Team | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed 9z Team | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed 9z Team | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed 9z Team | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked 9z Team | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed 9z Team | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked 9z Team | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed 9z Team | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked 9z Team | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked 9z Team | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Aura (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Aura - Map 1 Winner9z Team won
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Aura - Map 2 Winner9z Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.