Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd492515dffb06849a0f49fdcb723aa9f7bc8ef2a6d27111e67df88b198ee1dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON | 27c | 13,000$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.97 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 73c | 9,635$7,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.95 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked LYON | 23c | 9,129$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.77 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 8,888$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.38 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 5,000$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed LYON | 24c | 1,508$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.97 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LYON | 23c | 1,173$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked LYON | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed LYON | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 236.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed LYON | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 140.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 100.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed LYON | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Liquid | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Team Liquid | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked LYON | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Team Liquid | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Team Liquid | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.