NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a6ad40d47f94231e053423771209a4cad1f18a8a1800f1ef1f11199e71160f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Blue Jackets, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8560…71b0backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 2,800$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed Oilers | 72c | 2,800$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…1e3fbacked Blue Jackets | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…37d4backed Oilers | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…6811backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 1,302$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Oilers | 67c | 998.81$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.61 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Blue Jackets | 27c | 945.63$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Blue Jackets | 4c | 599.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked Oilers | 72c | 596.17$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 423.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Oilers | 74c | 405.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 73c | 365.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Blue Jackets | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Blue Jackets | 25c | 205.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 172.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Oilers | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Oilers | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Oilers | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…10e0backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 57.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…61b1backed Oilers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Oilers | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Oilers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Oilers | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Oilers | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Oilers | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Oilers | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Oilers | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.