CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 3DMAX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b3cbbf8ec8a78b6a2ddb99ce3a0285c7af393e56b77dca4039a01942e5109d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof Heroic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 24,386$13,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.44 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Heroic | 44c | 10,640$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.43 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX | 54c | 5,367$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.82 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 45c | 3,297$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.74 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Heroic | 46c | 3,296$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.16 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Heroic | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 2,705$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.72 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 43c | 2,692$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.39 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Heroic | 44c | 2,322$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.49 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Heroic | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heroic | 45c | 1,304$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.73 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Heroic | 44c | 1,262$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.36 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 1,236$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.51 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Heroic | 52c | 1,145$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heroic | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Heroic | 22c | 980.8$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Heroic | 44c | 935.88$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 3DMAX | 57c | 877.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heroic | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed 3DMAX | 61c | 761.71$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Heroic | 47c | 748.65$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Heroic | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heroic | 44c | 647.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Heroic | 44c | 457$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX | 56c | 439.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 3DMAX | 60c | 435.83$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Heroic | 17c | 430$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Heroic | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX | 55c | 352.22$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed 3DMAX | 47c | 324$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Heroic | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed 3DMAX | 55c | 295$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 31c | 229.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic | 46c | 202.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Heroic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Heroic | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Heroic | 44c | 196.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed 3DMAX | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 46c | 86.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Heroic | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Heroic | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Heroic | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked 3DMAX | 57c | 39.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed 3DMAX | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Heroic | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Heroic | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Heroic | 47c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.