Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e517fc88e15779e8b23245fd5c9e9327ae1479e575e60b0853f431109910cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,105 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 29c | 1,227$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 60c | 1,003$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.68 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 702.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 684.89$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 639.44$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 28c | 499.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 460.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 444.36$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 80c | 404$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 391.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 326.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 60c | 324.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 311.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 69c | 288.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 41c | 262$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 66c | 236.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 72c | 223.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 194.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 70c | 192.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 166.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 154.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 60c | 146.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 29c | 142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 72c | 111.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 28c | 95.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 83.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 73c | 82.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 78.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 60c | 77.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 50c | 76.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 63c | 65.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 28c | 64.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 30c | 60.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 70c | 55.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Yes | 69c | 50.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 26c | 38.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 59c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Yes | 59c | 25.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 60c | 24.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed No | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…c01bbacked Yes | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9659backed Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.