Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd505a61f1f2f409fb64795125b2350af8bd23fca12f3ad56bacfc5a325760cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 7,488$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 14c | 3,417$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.28 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 2,842$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 2,050$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.98 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,960$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 50c | 1,564$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.34 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 15c | 999.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.66 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 25c | 810.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 39c | 777.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 29c | 611.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 24c | 536.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 56c | 249.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 15c | 205.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 16c | 190.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 58c | 156.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…5081backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 57c | 132.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 57c | 126.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 99.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 89.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed No | 35c | 71.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. PAOK end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.