CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52b62d4a8a3492b1467625a67a299f5f1b98d0ddd50f942f6ac010ad795f9d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 71c | 2,758$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 74c | 1,457$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 1,124$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 591.29$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.43 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Ursa | 58c | 591.23$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 581.44$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Ursa | 58c | 581.38$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 28c | 572.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.2 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 24c | 523.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 493.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 18c | 126.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Ursa | 67c | 98.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Ursa | 80c | 96.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 93.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 84.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked Ursa | 72c | 73.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa | 75c | 72.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Ursa | 63c | 70.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 66.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Ursa | 67c | 66.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 24c | 54.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 69c | 48.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Ursa | 77c | 35.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 72c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Ursa | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…a509backed Ursa | 73c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.