CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9d299404cdd0cc21610c93969c4f3f00b297b881a00588ad2d680bd8593b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 4,196$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.87 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 60c | 3,904$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.04 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 2,855$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.29 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 54c | 2,509$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.09 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 2,480$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 68c | 2,100$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 1,857$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.37 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 66c | 1,817$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 1,659$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 1,373$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.37 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Ursa | 34c | 1,260$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.59 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 1,098$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.44 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 65c | 986.35$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.22 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 886.16$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ursa | 74c | 843.42$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 70c | 826.63$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 686.89$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 494.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Ursa | 54c | 486.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 11c | 459.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 435.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Ursa | 41c | 432.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.86 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 365.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ursa | 59c | 337.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ursa | 69c | 337.03$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ursa | 48c | 326.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 70c | 314.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ursa | 53c | 313.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 305.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 301.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Ursa | 53c | 295.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 281.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Ursa | 71c | 259.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 249.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | -23.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Ursa | 68c | 248.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Ursa | 68c | 238.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Ursa | 63c | 235.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 218.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Ursa | 68c | 207.4$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 189.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 187.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ursa | 47c | 175.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Ursa | 75c | 172.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 159.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 154.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Ursa | 67c | 147.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Ursa | 60c | 140.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Ursa | 61c | 140.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 130.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 120.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 17c | 119.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ursa | 33c | 114.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Ursa | 68c | 107.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Ursa | 58c | 104.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Ursa | 70c | 103.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Ursa | 66c | 99.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…a509backed Ursa | 64c | 97.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 89.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 79.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 77.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Ursa | 52c | 74.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ursa | 54c | 72.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Ursa | 57c | 71.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 68.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 68.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Ursa | 47c | 63.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 63.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 27c | 61.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ursa | 51c | 60.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 60.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 59.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Ursa | 69c | 53.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Ursa | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Ursa | 75c | 49.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Ursa | 68c | 48.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Ursa | 32c | 46.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Ursa | 32c | 46.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…f377backed Ursa | 55c | 43.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Ursa | 54c | 39.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Ursa | 60c | 36.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Ursa | 57c | 35.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 35.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Ursa | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ursa | 63c | 33.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…5f5abacked Ursa | 63c | 30.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Ursa | 64c | 30.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 28.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Ursa | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 69c | 25.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ursa | 67c | 25.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Ursa | 59c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.