Premier League · resolved market
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52cd6126f18372fd30673cd083a1c8a4a055ebfd77ac939b5489560af53b8b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Ham United FCof West Ham United FC, Portsmouth FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portsmouth FC | 54c | 2,195$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.76 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked West Ham United FC | 46c | 1,864$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.32 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked West Ham United FC | 47c | 1,256$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed West Ham United FC | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 384.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed West Ham United FC | 43c | 376.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed West Ham United FC | 28c | 323.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portsmouth FC | 54c | 280.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Portsmouth FC | 56c | 249.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Portsmouth FC | 72c | 248.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Portsmouth FC | 54c | 246.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portsmouth FC | 66c | 219.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed West Ham United FC | 45c | 196$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portsmouth FC | 27c | 194.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Portsmouth FC | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Portsmouth FC | 60c | 139.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portsmouth FC | 52c | 133.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portsmouth FC | 56c | 99.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Portsmouth FC | 52c | 90.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Portsmouth FC | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Portsmouth FC | 56c | 64.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Portsmouth FC | 55c | 63.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Portsmouth FC | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Portsmouth FC | 55c | 39.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Portsmouth FC | 73c | 29.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Portsmouth FC | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed West Ham United FC | 72c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.