Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00af1fd3a9f0832635e40f05473917f2bcbd188c7991e177ba9f936ca8c1a439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 56c | 3,162$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 3,132$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 43c | 2,658$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.07 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Over | 56c | 1,954$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 1,696$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.1 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 1,183$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.85 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 54c | 1,115$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 44c | 181.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 126.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 119.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 114.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 54c | 107.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 44c | 101.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 92.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 80.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 61c | 66.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 39c | 55.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 44c | 45.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 37.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Over | 65c | 37.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 44c | 36.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 30.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 30.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 41c | 29.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 45c | 28.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 44c | 26.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 40c | 25.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Over | 59c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.