CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd551402c4cc592d9df2958851c8106abccd69f98ed6a2c1da13e316bf171886a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof MANA eSports, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed MANA eSports | 57c | 1,124$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.39 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Brute | 50c | 1,117$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 557.26$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Brute | 43c | 497.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Brute | 49c | 474.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Brute | 30c | 403.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.11 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Brute | 52c | 362.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed MANA eSports | 48c | 298.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Brute | 23c | 244.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 208.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 47c | 199.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 79c | 184.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 52c | 176.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed MANA eSports | 60c | 166.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked MANA eSports | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed MANA eSports | 53c | 142.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed MANA eSports | 58c | 129.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Brute | 63c | 124.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MANA eSports | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked MANA eSports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MANA eSports | 29c | 75.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed MANA eSports | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…2804backed MANA eSports | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Brute | 50c | 48.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 56c | 43.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Brute | 44c | 30.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Brute | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Brute | 46c | 23.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group CBrute won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: MANA (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)Brute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.