CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55af2547bb16a1f98455818001e92b10c01314036f822e124aec245c9fb5d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof 9z, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO | 64c | 781.21$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed TYLOO | 65c | 746.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.93 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked 9z | 35c | 616.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked 9z | 36c | 550.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked TYLOO | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked TYLOO | 61c | 292.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed TYLOO | 63c | 149.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked TYLOO | 65c | 75.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed 9z | 36c | 70.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked TYLOO | 63c | 55.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed 9z | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 9z | 35c | 37.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed TYLOO | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked 9z | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked 9z | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TYLOO | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed TYLOO | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 29z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.