CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea423566a52dc7061b5806bab2ad5c7922b7ab9745488c74507f384494c3fb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 41c | 1,093$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.55 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 46c | 635.06$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 469.04$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 54c | 422.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 299.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 50c | 259.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 60c | 257.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…4bc6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Over | 49c | 240.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 51c | 211.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…ee66backed Under | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Over | 51c | 149.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 49c | 145.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Over | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 49c | 126.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…7289backed Over | 49c | 101.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 99.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 49c | 98.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 67.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 46.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3072backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 38.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1e…3362backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +54%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…8c5bbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -10.8wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…1119backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 29z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)TYLOO won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.