La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5929e5b3c57fd42bd2bdb6bea96d6f246f97fb64ffc862cceb1b68f04c886cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 813.57$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 20c | 627.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes | 40c | 476.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 434.74$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 60c | 373$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 53c | 299.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 232.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 42c | 231.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 40c | 179.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 163.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 158.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 29c | 151.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Yes | 41c | 118.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 61c | 110.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…574abacked Yes | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes | 44c | 82.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 41c | 59.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 41c | 56.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…2dd2backed Yes | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4a…4140backed Yes | 40c | 47.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 42c | 43.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?No won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.