Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Gabriela Ruse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c740fc3b080ea70201982a83206987d92ea7bd058ffb47d17f9d22f1a41ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalinskayaof Kalinskaya, Ruse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ruse | 13c | 2,647$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Kalinskaya | 63c | 2,626$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ruse | 37c | 2,151$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.78 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Ruse | 3c | 475.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ruse | 6c | 475.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Ruse | 5c | 429.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ruse | 6c | 392.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ruse | 5c | 262.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ruse | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ruse | 15c | 198.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ruse | 38c | 162.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ruse | 17c | 145.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruse | 10c | 145.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Ruse | 11c | 141.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Ruse | 17c | 105.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…15a8backed Kalinskaya | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kalinskaya | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Kalinskaya | 63c | 71.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Kalinskaya | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Ruse | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Kalinskaya | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ruse | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Kalinskaya | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Gabriela Rusethis page
- Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)Kalinskaya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.