Tennis · resolved market
ITF Marburg: Oliver Majdandzic vs Michel Hopp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f3a626d0ba32b57a9a75d90b54ed1c130fda0cabda043cc9daa1d6661bcdb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michel Hoppof Oliver Majdandzic, Michel Hopp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oliver Majdandzic | 34c | 989.04$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Oliver Majdandzic | 34c | 459.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Michel Hopp | 67c | 372.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michel Hopp | 68c | 369.63$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Oliver Majdandzic | 34c | 168.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Michel Hopp | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michel Hopp | 65c | 151.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Michel Hopp | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Michel Hopp | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Michel Hopp | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Oliver Majdandzic | 33c | 104.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oliver Majdandzic | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Oliver Majdandzic | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Oliver Majdandzic | 33c | 83.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 83.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Oliver Majdandzic | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Oliver Majdandzic | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Michel Hopp | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Michel Hopp | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 68.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Michel Hopp | 67c | 49.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Oliver Majdandzic | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 46.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Michel Hopp | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Michel Hopp | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 42.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 38.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Michel Hopp | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Michel Hopp | 67c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Michel Hopp | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Michel Hopp | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.