Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6038b5090039685cef9cc05df2a56a623d760fa71fe8f2623a9e06df2690a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas State Bobcatsof Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, Texas State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Texas State Bobcats | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 3,007$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texas State Bobcats | 52c | 2,569$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.03 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 2,485$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 1,105$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 691.83$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.08 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 346$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 296.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas State Bobcats | 51c | 207.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas State Bobcats | 52c | 42.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 32.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas State Bobcats | 53c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Texas State Bobcats | 53c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-2.5)this page
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 139.5Over won
- Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.