Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava: Jay Clarke vs Raul Brancaccio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd67ca0210f2b5e9267e0b0739d88ac35e7b18ebabe8e55c87f1d2077b9198d60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raul Brancaccioof Jay Clarke, Raul Brancaccio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Raul Brancaccio | 70c | 50,851$35,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,104.03 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jay Clarke | 29c | 34,973$10,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,277.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke | 28c | 9,740$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jay Clarke | 29c | 1,844$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.86 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Jay Clarke | 40c | 1,600$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Jay Clarke | 28c | 1,530$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Jay Clarke | 41c | 1,360$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked Jay Clarke | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Jay Clarke | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jay Clarke | 28c | 891.61$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jay Clarke | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jay Clarke | 29c | 529.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Jay Clarke | 16c | 489.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Raul Brancaccio | 63c | 472.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Jay Clarke | 17c | 371.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Jay Clarke | 29c | 347.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Jay Clarke | 12c | 337.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raul Brancaccio | 66c | 315.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Jay Clarke | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jay Clarke | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jay Clarke | 26c | 211.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Jay Clarke | 35c | 188.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 123.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Raul Brancaccio | 65c | 123.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Jay Clarke | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jay Clarke | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…99a6backed Jay Clarke | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Raul Brancaccio | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Raul Brancaccio | 64c | 93.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Raul Brancaccio | 64c | 88.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Jay Clarke | 12c | 84.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Jay Clarke | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Jay Clarke | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Jay Clarke | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 79c | 68.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jay Clarke | 33c | 68.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jay Clarke | 34c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Jay Clarke | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Jay Clarke | 16c | 63.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Raul Brancaccio | 79c | 63.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Jay Clarke | 19c | 62.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Jay Clarke | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raul Brancaccio | 56c | 52.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…665cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Raul Brancaccio | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Jay Clarke | 43c | 48.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Jay Clarke | 44c | 48.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Jay Clarke | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 67c | 45.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Raul Brancaccio | 67c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Raul Brancaccio | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…7becbacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 42.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 42.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jay Clarke | 30c | 40.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 70c | 37.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…0c3bbacked Raul Brancaccio | 69c | 36.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Jay Clarke | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raul Brancaccio | 67c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.