Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68805015df45bfee868955ded3fc537a62b8f59c70fd94d4eb27bca088e5a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 61c | 798.85$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 699.85$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 486.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 40c | 463.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 237.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 59c | 171.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 63c | 96.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…9851backed Under | 42c | 70.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbf…bb0fbacked Under | 41c | 64.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b4…1b24backed Under | 42c | 52.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4034backed Under | 43c | 51.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 61c | 50.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…d280backed Under | 42c | 50.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 48.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…8945backed Over | 59c | 48.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…edfdbacked Over | 59c | 47.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…a1a3backed Over | 60c | 44.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8592…9cb5backed Over | 60c | 42.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…e3c4backed Over | 60c | 39.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…b459backed Under | 42c | 38.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…daf5backed Over | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…cf4ebacked Over | 60c | 37.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…275ebacked Over | 60c | 35.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…8b21backed Over | 60c | 34.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…acf2backed Under | 42c | 29.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.