Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8275408161b8f0c113c374eeede3c0abddfe96f73c1a209153c6105e15a74294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 35c | 4,705$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.86 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 38c | 2,818$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 1,889$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.22 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 1,748$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 59c | 1,329$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 35c | 751.31$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 519.65$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.36 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 416.65$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.67 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 56c | 356.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 39c | 257.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 237.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…1f65backed Over | 48c | 232.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 182.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 156.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 146.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 54c | 142.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 96.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 90.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 78.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 43c | 76.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 37c | 72.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 34c | 68.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 57.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 38c | 52.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 42c | 50.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…a4d8backed Under | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 46.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 70c | 30.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 68c | 27.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.