Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6be83e3fa02b7002a8afc6486e6b5a51cf178691a8b682a5548ef2acc37569e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof TYLOO, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,658 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedce…412ebacked TYLOO | 2c | 913.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed TYLOO | 34c | 826.15$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 652.28$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed TYLOO | 56c | 557.66$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 462.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked TYLOO | 47c | 456.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed TYLOO | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 317.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TYLOO | 48c | 313.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed TYLOO | 60c | 305.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 294.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 167.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed TYLOO | 52c | 147.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 144.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 134.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 126$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 20c | 122.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…e929backed TYLOO | 22c | 91.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 84.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TYLOO | 35c | 59.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed TYLOO | 38c | 51.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 50.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 37.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked TYLOO | 59c | 34.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked TYLOO | 59c | 28.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)TYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.