Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c3ec6003d159285d44a3d4f89addb76845144723046d51924588edc9020ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FearX Youthof T1 Academy, BNK FearX Youth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed BNK FearX Youth | 1c | 4,293$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.21 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 Academy | 45c | 738.22$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked BNK FearX Youth | 55c | 589.59$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed T1 Academy | 52c | 565.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.28 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BNK FearX Youth | 48c | 463.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.79 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed BNK FearX Youth | 50c | 204.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked BNK FearX Youth | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed BNK FearX Youth | 55c | 177.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed T1 Academy | 48c | 90.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed BNK FearX Youth | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed BNK FearX Youth | 53c | 70.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed T1 Academy | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed BNK FearX Youth | 51c | 42.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed T1 Academy | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…0d6ebacked T1 Academy | 49c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…e28cbacked T1 Academy | 50c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.