Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2064f78d9c693e1d7291deb6121a75c40906b19f1a08602c4aceca6afd6bbb1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 44c | 851.34$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.75 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 56c | 467.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 58c | 411.8$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 42c | 395.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…516abacked Over | 28c | 302.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Over | 5c | 270.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Under | 74c | 249.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 57c | 237.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 197.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Under | 72c | 148.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 30c | 86.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cfdcbacked Under | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 26c | 60.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 55.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 56c | 52.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 44c | 28.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 57c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)BNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.