Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7657a7003cbafd83023ed7b1837a8588e47424c021306f96b6725a974cc6415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delhi Capitalsof Delhi Capitals, Chennai Super Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chennai Super Kings | 48c | 1,150$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Delhi Capitals | 52c | 826.38$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chennai Super Kings | 4c | 528.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 271 | 29.5%80 W · 191 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 502.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.19 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Delhi Capitals | 49c | 344.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cc…1c16backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 244.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Chennai Super Kings | 52c | 232.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Chennai Super Kings | 48c | 194.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Delhi Capitals | 67c | 162.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 149.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…0ba7backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 115.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…5f5abacked Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 115.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 107.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Delhi Capitals | 48c | 72.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 61.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7319backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…491dbacked Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…b4cdbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…ce77backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 38.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Chennai Super Kings | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…2216backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…aae7backed Delhi Capitals | 52c | 27.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Chennai Super Kings | 51c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Delhi Capitals | 52c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Chennai Super Kings | 47c | 21.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…17abbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a0dabacked Chennai Super Kings | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Delhi Capitals | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…ad92backed Delhi Capitals | 53c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super KingsChennai Super Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.