Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd767b88df8f2d9c93649c1f27521383b23dea3b5e2689d3ed8a44500879355a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Francis (PA) Red Flashof St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 56c | 5,894$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.5 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 977.27$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 753.14$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 453.19$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 46c | 306.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 54c | 268$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 55.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 42.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 43c | 27.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (-2.5)this page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. St. Francis (PA) Red FlashSt. Francis (PA) Red Flash won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 143.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.