College Football · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77e4768cca0b3b10ee7bbea1c7c9f64338f8e0c2f27fe2f18b2bb397e413e2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Oklahoma, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Auburn | 48c | 13,419$6,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.98 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oklahoma | 52c | 5,008$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Oklahoma | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Oklahoma | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.89 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Auburn | 49c | 2,569$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.63 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oklahoma | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oklahoma | 51c | 1,181$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.66 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oklahoma | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Auburn | 53c | 503.2$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Oklahoma | 56c | 337.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Oklahoma | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oklahoma | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Auburn | 45c | 197.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Oklahoma | 51c | 189.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Oklahoma | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Auburn | 49c | 104.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…398cbacked Oklahoma | 52c | 95.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…451abacked Auburn | 49c | 94.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Oklahoma | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Oklahoma | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Auburn | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Oklahoma | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Auburn | 42c | 38.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Auburn | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…b46fbacked Auburn | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…0d7dbacked Oklahoma | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5)this page
- Auburn vs. OklahomaOklahoma won
- Auburn vs. Oklahoma: O/U 46.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.