Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b09c5cc855abaad9d20e3ca97ea7238d65e8257cb8235d854e3136bef2901a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 43c | 14,066$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,904$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 4,064$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.91 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 2,631$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.02 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 2,529$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 1,404$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.82 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 1,214$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.13 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 1,044$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.39 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 961.7$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.6 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 922.31$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 57c | 744.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.46 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 438.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 381$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed No | 57c | 377.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 46c | 347.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 330.27$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 44c | 227.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 57c | 190.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 174.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 55c | 168.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 168.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 46c | 134.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…417ebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Yes | 46c | 64.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 56c | 41.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 29c | 35.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 29c | 35.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 56c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 54c | 34.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 56c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 56c | 28.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 56c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…8b9cbacked No | 55c | 24.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed No | 57c | 23.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 56c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.