MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d8aac03ff3b61d4dd6c139ea7b91e9725e50b3df0fa9cdb892e21be92c9f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 34c | 7,937$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.54 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 66c | 4,710$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 55c | 3,890$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.9 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mariners | 45c | 3,329$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.7 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 64c | 3,179$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 35c | 3,146$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 53c | 3,062$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.39 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 74c | 1,868$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Mariners | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.37 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 65c | 1,662$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.84 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mariners | 61c | 1,571$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.33 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 54c | 1,463$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 33c | 1,145$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Braves | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 74c | 966.55$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 55c | 937.53$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mariners | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 47c | 851$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 48c | 825.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mariners | 44c | 746.49$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.15 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Braves | 43c | 655$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 59c | 599.88$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 52c | 514.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 44c | 455$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 55c | 433.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 26c | 411.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Mariners | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Braves | 50c | 403.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Mariners | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Braves | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 45c | 387.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Braves | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Mariners | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Braves | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mariners | 71c | 312$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Braves | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 48c | 269.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 54c | 249.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Braves | 57c | 247.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 47c | 226.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Braves | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Braves | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Mariners | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 55c | 190.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Braves | 53c | 187.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mariners | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mariners | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 59c | 169.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Braves | 46c | 158.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 34c | 144$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Mariners | 67c | 131.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Braves | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Braves | 31c | 102.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Mariners | 48c | 102.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Braves | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Mariners | 46c | 98.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 72c | 95.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 26c | 89.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Mariners | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 35c | 87.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Mariners | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mariners | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ec…80dfbacked Braves | 57c | 81.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Braves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Mariners | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Braves | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Mariners | 48c | 63.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Braves | 52c | 62.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 29c | 52.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Braves | 37c | 45.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Braves | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…d9f3backed Mariners | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 53c | 43.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Braves | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Mariners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Mariners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Braves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Braves | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Mariners | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Mariners | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Mariners | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1be…5409backed Mariners | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mariners | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Bravesthis page
- Mariners vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.