Fifa International · resolved market
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e6a1f11a53af17b1586d4f4c769315109d8f15160acf9d4ef5dd55f103ddf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,340$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,046$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 4c | 762.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 8c | 657.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.44 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 5c | 383.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 77c | 356.34$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.09 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 342.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Yes | 52c | 308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 76c | 212.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes | 72c | 165.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 121.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 76c | 84.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 22c | 82.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 22c | 59.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 23c | 57.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 22c | 50.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 67c | 39.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 47c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 78c | 29.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 61c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked No | 71c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…f7a0backed Yes | 78c | 13.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Burkina Faso vs. Guinea-Bissau end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Guinea-Bissau win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.