Tennis · resolved market
Abidjan: Matt Kuhar vs Maks Kasnikowski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88fc7b1948d811528c7c4e91cb9092c3702ba165f6502cd2566996caae3daa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maks Kasnikowskiof Matt Kuhar, Maks Kasnikowski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matt Kuhar | 3c | 9,008$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matt Kuhar | 2c | 3,612$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matt Kuhar | 9c | 2,370$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Matt Kuhar | 10c | 1,426$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Matt Kuhar | 2c | 1,125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Matt Kuhar | 15c | 1,020$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matt Kuhar | 15c | 764.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Matt Kuhar | 6c | 756.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Matt Kuhar | 14c | 409.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Matt Kuhar | 3c | 407.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Matt Kuhar | 5c | 288.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Matt Kuhar | 10c | 274.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matt Kuhar | 11c | 183.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Matt Kuhar | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Matt Kuhar | 14c | 95.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.