Tennis · resolved market
ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Thiago Cigarran vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd89c6bdeecbcce68a437eaa0977559fcecd96d5564ff5b222d1356ecb880ec42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarateof Thiago Cigarran, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thiago Cigarran | 29c | 5,183$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.51 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 73c | 4,970$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 4,354$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.95 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Thiago Cigarran | 11c | 1,928$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 763.56$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thiago Cigarran | 29c | 562.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Thiago Cigarran | 29c | 297.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 202$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 165.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 152.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Thiago Cigarran | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Thiago Cigarran | 27c | 89.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 79.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 57c | 52.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 51.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Thiago Cigarran | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Thiago Cigarran | 38c | 27.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 53c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Thiago Cigarran | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 73c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.