Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c7de9bc84a63ca3b9046b8a9c08a949b5b436659db8f79437486d3aa201e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Monmouth Hawks, Campbell Fighting Camels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 0c | 3,685$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…7d5bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 34c | 1,590$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Monmouth Hawks | 47c | 820$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 61c | 697.14$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 589.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.38 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…eefdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 66c | 540$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f5…13b7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 66c | 530$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…226dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 66c | 520$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 33c | 487.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 461.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Monmouth Hawks | 30c | 440.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 34c | 372$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 26c | 355.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 79c | 322.05$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 65c | 263.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 43c | 233.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Monmouth Hawks | 68c | 190$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 67c | 177$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 65c | 163.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Monmouth Hawks | 32c | 157.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 59c | 114.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 15c | 108.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 93.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 67c | 62.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 66c | 51.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monmouth Hawks | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Monmouth Hawks | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 54c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 33.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 75c | 33.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 52c | 32.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Monmouth Hawks | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.