CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8fa5d25adc832fae65c4b7ab0858c42e66ae0a8c57165ad2557a66b3d1fa701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2007of 2007, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Hashiras | 43c | 2,317$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.53 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed 2007 | 56c | 1,792$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.36 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed 2007 | 55c | 1,222$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 45c | 1,020$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed 2007 | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 2007 | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed 2007 | 52c | 746.58$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Hashiras | 47c | 741.37$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 2007 | 52c | 681.1$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.74 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Hashiras | 43c | 545.18$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Hashiras | 43c | 520.93$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Hashiras | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed 2007 | 59c | 445.79$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed 2007 | 78c | 374.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 2007 | 58c | 314.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Hashiras | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Hashiras | 48c | 284.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Hashiras | 43c | 251.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Hashiras | 42c | 230$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Hashiras | 35c | 217.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Hashiras | 37c | 199.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 2007 | 61c | 182.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed 2007 | 78c | 156$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed 2007 | 41c | 154$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Hashiras | 14c | 140.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…a507backed Hashiras | 43c | 125.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Hashiras | 47c | 122.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Hashiras | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 45c | 113.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Hashiras | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 2007 | 52c | 100.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hashiras | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Hashiras | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 2007 | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed 2007 | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 2007 | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hashiras | 44c | 93.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Hashiras | 32c | 92.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Hashiras | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Hashiras | 49c | 71.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…1b38backed Hashiras | 34c | 67.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…3785backed Hashiras | 54c | 64.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 2007 | 50c | 64.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Hashiras | 41c | 64.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Hashiras | 50c | 59.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Hashiras | 38c | 59.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Hashiras | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Hashiras | 33c | 53.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 2007 | 48c | 40.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 2007 | 74c | 40.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Hashiras | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Hashiras | 41c | 38.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 2007 | 57c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Hashiras | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Hashiras | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked 2007 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed 2007 | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed 2007 | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…8416backed 2007 | 74c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Hashiras | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked 2007 | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner2007 won
- Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.