CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8fd72d48898e55e86245890fc484f134f71d8639c3e2564217fe378ed9189a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicão Esportsof Lilmix, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 45c | 1,115$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.77 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed FC Famalicão Esports | 55c | 998.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.54 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Lilmix | 55c | 731.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 55c | 702.65$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.43 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 51c | 548.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Lilmix | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lilmix | 39c | 115.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FC Famalicão Esports | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 59c | 84.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lilmix | 54c | 77.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Lilmix | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Lilmix | 51c | 57.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 54.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Lilmix | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FC Famalicão Esports | 55c | 43.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 32.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lilmix | 54c | 29.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed FC Famalicão Esports | 50c | 29.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InFC Famalicão Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.