CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd903672778c3cc8e7cefbfb8111d9b2d4d0bc694ec91ac455cb540688de34a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked largadosypelados | 61c | 3,095$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.16 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked largadosypelados | 60c | 2,432$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.67 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Keyd | 42c | 1,714$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed largadosypelados | 63c | 1,025$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Keyd | 39c | 860$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Keyd | 36c | 844.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ca21backed Keyd | 40c | 757.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Keyd | 33c | 560$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Keyd | 41c | 452.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked largadosypelados | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Keyd | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Keyd | 39c | 321.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Keyd | 54c | 266.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 38c | 265.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 52c | 263.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Keyd | 39c | 251.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed largadosypelados | 60c | 246.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Keyd | 40c | 203.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed largadosypelados | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Keyd | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed largadosypelados | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Keyd | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed largadosypelados | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed largadosypelados | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Keyd | 45c | 81.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Keyd | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Keyd | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Keyd | 44c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 57c | 40.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked largadosypelados | 40c | 26.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed largadosypelados | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Keyd | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.